Showing 1 - 10 of 358
As a preliminary study of the effect of return and sampling on chaos and stochastic data pattern, this research tests chaos pattern by using Henon attractor as a sample of two-dimensional discrete chaos data with an assumption that economic and finance data are generated by low dimensional chaos...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012922749
In this paper, the author uses geometrical and topological aspects of Exploratory Data Analysis (EDA) to examine Standard and Poor's (S&P), MSCI's and Thomson Reuters' (TRI) ways of determining which stocks are growth and which are value. The results of the analysis are that two of the firms -...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013117025
This articlemodels the dependence risk and resource allocation characteristics of two 20-stock coal–uranium and oil–gas sector portfolios fromthe Australian market in the context of the global financial crisis of 2008–2009. The modeling framework implemented consists of pair vine copulas...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012990828
Stock market variance-return or price relations are sometimes negative and sometimes positive. We explain these puzzling findings using a model with two ("bad" and "good") variances. In the model, conditional equity premium depends positively on bad variance and negatively on good variance....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012899693
Enhanced Indexation is the problem of selecting a portfolio that should produce excess return with respect to a given benchmark index. In this work we propose a linear bi-objective optimization approach to Enhanced Indexation that maximizes average excess return and minimizes underperformance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013072982
All conceivable solutions to the internal rate of return equation are shown to have meaning as well as use. Internal rates of return are the units in which value is measured and the quantities of such units. This result implies a single internal rate of return cannot be an investment criterion....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013133342
We suggest using "realized volatility" as a volatility proxy to aid in model-based multivariate bond yield density forecasting. To do so, we develop a general estimation approach to incorporate volatility proxy information into dynamic factor models with stochastic volatility. The resulting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011499535
The popular Nelson-Siegel (1987) yield curve is routinely fit to cross sections of intra-country bond yields, and Diebold and Li (2006) have recently proposed a dynamized version. In this paper we extend Diebold-Li to a global context, modeling a potentially large set of country yield curves in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003831205
A well-documented empirical result is that market expectations extracted from futures contracts on the federal funds rate are among the best predictors for the future course of monetary policy. We show how this information can be exploited to produce accurate forecasts of bond excess returns and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009744063
Intraday return predictability has firstly been identified in the equity markets, and we extend the analysis to the crude oil market by using high-frequency United States Oil Fund data from 2006 to 2018. We find a different intraday prediction pattern in the oil market, where only the first...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012839627