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We estimate conditional multifactor models over a large cross-section of stock returns matching 25 CAPM anomalies. Using conditioning information associated with different instruments improves the performance of the Hou, Xue, and Zhang (2015, HXZ) and Fama and French (2015, 2016, FF) models. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012937406
In this paper, I examine the relations between risk management disclosures, governance, and the market pricing of the fair value gains and losses (FVGL) for US commercial bank holding companies (banks). I find that banks with strong corporate governance disclose more about their risk management...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014048368
I show that a firm's capital intensity affects the asset pricing implications of investment-specific technology shocks measured by a popular measure, the IMC porfolio. Capital-intensive stocks sorted by the exposure to this measure generate a highly significant average return premium of up to 5%...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014119859
This paper documents that the increase in public debt can lead to higher dividend payout to shareholders, which suggests public debt can be a strong cash flow predictor which helps better predict future stock returns. Specifically, the higher public debt-to-GDP ratio can predict both higher...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014103307
We show that the stock market pricing the presidential margin of victory in a nonlinear concave fashion, with a higher price for medium than slight or crushing victories. We conjecture that the margin of victory reflects president confidence and the ability to execute policies. A small margin...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013251084
We find that stock price crash risk is positively associated with lagged equity lending fee and fee risk. This positive relation is stronger for the stocks with a lower short interest level and higher information uncertainty. Our results are robust to using alternative measures of price crash...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012996039
Risk-neutral valuation is used to value a portfolio and decompose it into the components accruing to its stakeholders. The analysis incorporates managers' expected performance and contract renewal issues. A managed portfolio's economic value is shown to differ from its net asset value. A better...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012998046
This paper investigates the role of volatility risk on stock return predictability specified on two global financial crises: the dot-com bubble and recent financial crisis. Using a broad sample of stock options traded at the American Stock Exchange and the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012999962
We examine the informational efficiency of market ambiguity in predicting market excess returns and the equity premium internationally. Empirical results show a strong predictive ability of option-implied, and sentiment-based, ambiguity for U.S. stock market returns for up to three years. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013003524
This paper investigates the predictive power of share issuance on equity returns in BIST. The share issuance measure which is the annual logarithmic change in shares outstanding that is adjusted for distribution events is not significantly related to expected equity returns in a univariate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013006152