Showing 1 - 10 of 254
Using a sample of 97 stock return anomalies, we find that anomaly returns are 50% higher on corporate news days and are 6 times higher on earnings announcement days. These results could be explained by dynamic risk, mispricing via biased expectations, and data mining. We develop and conduct...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012971410
We study the out-of-sample and post-publication return-predictability of 97 variables that academic studies show to predict cross-sectional stock returns. Portfolio returns are 26% lower out-of-sample and 58% lower post-publication. The out-of-sample decline is an upper bound estimate of data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013007906
This paper studies the return behaviour at National Stock Exchange, India and the Rupee-Dollar exchange rate, using NSE's Nifty as the benchmark for stock returns, while INR-USD rate is used as the benchmark for exchange rate. The daily closing levels of the two benchmarks for a period beginning...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013012056
We investigate the cross-sectional pattern of stock returns for eight emerging markets using Vector Autoregressive Approach (VAR) to test whether dividend yields can predict stock returns through impulse response characteristics. Our results confirm that dividend yield shocks play an important...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014205825
The subject insider trading is controversial. This paper presents series of event studies carried through on the trades with stocks of the firm carried by insiders with the objective to detect abnormal returns, based on the access to privileged information. The sample is composed by trades...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014206221
In imperfect capital markets, an entrepreneur has to invest substantial personal funds to start a private firm and is forced to bear large firm-specific risk. Furthermore, if the entrepreneur is risk averse, one would expect the private equity to earn a premium for idiosyncratic risk. In this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014113651
Return chasing is often cited as one of the primary behavioral foibles of investors, resulting in sub-par returns. Surprisingly, the literature does not provide a generally accepted and testable description of return chasing. This paper proposes a simple definition. It then describes how return...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013000954
.7-19 trading days. We find a simple scaling C ~ 1 / T, where C is cents-per-share, and T is the portfolio turnover. Thus, the … portfolio return R has no statistically significant dependence on the turnover T. We also find a scaling R ~ V^X, where V is the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013003695
Empirical studies have found that during bad times return predictability is higher. Thus, variation in discount rate news should be relatively higher as economic conditions worsen. We propose a parsimonious model for expected returns that captures the countercyclical dynamics of stock return...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013006414
How fiscal policy impacts equity and bond returns is an open question. Unlike previous studies, we address this issue in a way that decomposes current returns into news about cash flows and news about discount rates. Moreover, we use narrative methods to identify plausibly exogenous shocks to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972756