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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012035115
We investigate whether the distributional characteristics of corporate bonds predict the cross-sectional differences in future bond returns. The results indicate a significantly positive (negative) link between volatility (skewness) and expected returns, whereas kurtosis does not make a robust...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013005438
Momentum profits can be explained by exposure to risks omitted from common factor models (distress risk, idiosyncratic risk, and covariance with corporate bonds) and underreaction to innovations in these risks. Momentum strategies tend to go long risky stocks with high expected returns....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013104921
Market return predictability may be driven by time varying discount rates or changing beliefs of cash flow. We use analyst earnings forecast to separate cash flow and discount rate components of returns and distinguish the source of return predictability by a set of predictive variables commonly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082599
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We provide a comprehensive study on the cross-sectional predictability of corporate bond returns using big data and machine learning. We examine whether a large set of equity and bond characteristics drive the expected returns on corporate bonds. Using either set of characteristics, we find that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012419708
We investigate the cross-sectional determinants of corporate bond returns and find that downside risk is the strongest predictor of future bond returns. We also introduce common risk factors based on the prevalent risk characteristics of corporate bonds -- downside risk, credit risk, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012935758
I find that aggregate asset growth constructed from bottom-up data negatively predicts future market returns both in and out-of-sample and this result is robust across G7 countries. I further show that aggregate asset growth contains information about future market returns not captured by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012856724
We find that a large portion of U.S. equity mutual funds almost second-order stochastically dominates the market portfolio. Consistent with the canonical definition of second-order stochastic dominance, both fund investors and managers reveal their preference for funds with a higher degree of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012841194
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