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We model the complex global dependencies in international financial markets using spatial techniques. Our methodology allows us to go beyond conventional correlation analyses and volatility-spillover models confined to studying pairwise relationships, and improves the accuracy of return...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013055629
This paper introduces a generalization of quantiles, order statistics, and concomitants that we term co-quantiles, and investigates their statistical properties. The probability density functions for the co-quantiles are obtained along with their moments under the assumption that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012858127
This study aims to overcome the problem of dimensionality, accurate estimation, and forecasting Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) uncertainty intervals in high frequency data. A Bayesian bootstrapping and backtest density forecasts, which are based on a weighted threshold and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012804913
Statistical learning models have profoundly changed the rules of trading on the stock exchange. Quantitative analysts try to utilise them predict potential profits and risks in a better manner. However, the available studies are mostly focused on testing the increasingly complex machine learning...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012799150
We present a framework for modeling and estimating dynamics of variance and skewness from time-series data using a maximum likelihood approach assuming that the errors from the mean have a non-central conditional t distribution. We parameterize conditional variance and conditional skewness in an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012739229
This paper examines the effect of return dispersion on the dynamics of stock market liquidity, risk and return. Moreover, the importance of return dispersion in forecasting aggregate economic activity is rediscovered in the context of a regime switching model that accounts for stock market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013403197
This study proposes a wavelets approach to estimating time-frequency-varying betas in the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) framework. The dynamic of systematic risk across time and frequency is analyzed to investigate stock risk-profile robustness. Furthermore, we emphasize the effect of an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014289044
In this paper we discuss the required return on equity for a simple project with a finite life. To determine a project's cost of equity, it is quite common to use Modigliani and Miller's ‘Proposition II' (1963). However, if the assumptions of MM do not hold, ‘Proposition II' will lead to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013133845
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