We examine whether consumer confidence - as a proxy for individual investor sentiment - affects expected stock returns internationally in 18 industrialized countries. In line with recent evidence for the U.S., we find that sentiment negatively forecasts aggregate stock market returns on average...

We study carry trades in the cryptocurrency market and document that the lack of sufficient arbitrage capital in combination with highly levered speculators creates ample carry opportunities. We find that carry in bitcoin, as measured by the funding rate of BTC/USD perpetual swaps, resembles...

We estimate consumption based asset pricing models using consumption and equity market data for fifteen countries from 1900 to 2008 in a setting where investors have recursive utility. We find strong evidence that a long-run risk consumption CAPM that prices international stock returns via their...

Using data for the trades of 19 central banks intervening in currency markets, we show that stabilization policies by individual central banks lead to "systematic intervention" patterns. This systematic intervention is driven by and impacts on the same factors that drive currency excess returns:...

We document that the carry of crypto futures, i.e., the difference between futures and spot prices, can become very large (up to 60% p.a.) and varies strongly over time. This behavior is most consistent with the existence of a highly volatile crypto convenience yield that stems from two main...