This paper extends recent discussion on the effectiveness of mutual fund performance measures. We utilize the well-known value premium to examine the ability of mutual fund performance measures to distinguish between the results of value funds and growth funds. Specifically, we examine the...

I build a price-ratio model based on the Campbell and Shiller (1988) decomposition to test which components of investor expectations best explains cross-sectional price differences. I evaluate the in- and out-of-sample performance of my model, which uses a higher-order expansion with an added...

Stocks with high idiosyncratic volatility perform poorly relative to low idiosyncratic volatility stocks. We offer a novel explanation of this anomaly based on real options, which is consistent with earlier findings on idiosyncratic volatility (the positive contemporaneous relation between...

Understanding the factors that drive the stock market is more than an academic exercise. With a framework to understanding what that drives the overall market, business leaders are positioned to drive value their own businesses. While driving increases in shareholder value is one of the most...

This study investigates the price movement characteristics of banking issuers listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange with macroeconomic indicators as an exogenous variable. By using the k-means clustering based on the monthly rate of return, banks are classified into three clusters, lower,...

This paper examines the temporal relationship between sin stocks and investor sentiment using vector autoregressive models. It decomposes sin returns into a market-based and pure sin component and then performs dynamic statistical modeling on the pure sin portfolio. Next, it attempts to...

This research investigates Value Line short-horizon and long-horizon earnings and stock price forecasts. From 1987-1998, Value Line analysts issued optimistic quarterly and annual EPS forecasts. This is consistent with prior research showing that analysts generally issued upwardly biased...

We develop a firm valuation model with repeated expansion and contraction options to show operating profitability is a proxy for time-varying systematic risk. Relative to riskier assets, the proportionate value of contraction options increase as profitability falls, lowering the firm beta....

In this paper, I examine the sources of momentum returns and uncover a list of intriguing features. I find that when the momentum returns are decomposed the contributions of the explained and the unexplained risk factors depend on the level of analysis, the risk factors used, and the lag...

This paper investigates the performance and characteristics of survivor stocks in the S&P 500 index. Using both in-sample and out-of-sample comparisons, survivor stocks outperformed this market index by a considerable margin. Relative to other S&P 500 index companies, survivor stocks tend to be...