Using a modified DCC-MIDAS specification that allows the long-term correlation component to be a function of multiple explanatory variables, we show that the stock-bond correlation in the US, the UK, Germany, France, and Italy is mainly driven by inflation and interest rate expectations as well...

We examine the ability of one- and two-factor regime switching models to describe U.S., developed, and emerging market mutual fund returns. We find that a two-factor fixed transition probability model adequately describes the multivariate series of mutual fund returns without the need to model...

Traditional measures of assessment of mutual fund performance (alpha) are based mostly on Capital Assets Pricing Model which presupposes fixed sensitivity of risk exposure of a fund to its market proxy (beta). However, changing economic conditions will alter this relationship. In conditional...

Processing qualitative information about a firm's product market competition matters for professional investors. Consistent with a superior understanding of a firm's market power, fund managers who overweight companies with the fewest competitors (monopolies) outperform their peers. An exogenous...

Taking a firm's competitive position into account benefits investors who are better at evaluating this qualitative information. I find that fund managers who overweight companies with market power outperform their peers. Placebo exercises and an exogenous shock to product market competition...

Taking a firm’s competitive position into account benefits investors who are better at evaluating this qualitative information. I find that fund managers who overweight companies withmarket power outperform their peers. Placebo exercises and an exogenous shock to productmarket competition...

We perform a comprehensive examination of the recursive, comparative predictive performance of a number of linear and non-linear models for UK stock and bond returns. We estimate Markov switching, threshold autoregressive (TAR), and smooth transition autoregressive (STR) regime switching models,...

We find two structural breaks, signifying three investment regimes, in global equity markets from January 1988 through January 2010. These estimated breaks are similar for multiple models of beta risk. We find that emerging markets provide significant marginal performance benefits to a globally...