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I document that the implications of government spending on consumption growth and cross-sectional pricing of stocks depend on the state of the economy when the shock occurs. During times of high economic growth, government spending shocks cause a drop in future consumption. To compensate for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855403
The existing instruments of government spending using accumulated stock returns of military contractors generate vastly different consumption and investment impulse responses when compared to the narratively identified war news shocks as per Ramey (2011). We show that a reason for this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013297822
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009515819
seeks to find the relationship between R&D investments and stock return volatility in the United States through a multiple …&D investments and stock return volatility. This result has many implications for firms and their shareholders. The results of this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013289098
This paper investigates the presence of day-of-the-week effect, returns volatility and analyzes the annual returns of …-day-of-the- week but indicate insignificant daily returns volatility in most of these Markets. The stock exchanges experienced enormous …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014199221
whether interest rate and stock market volatility play an additional role as recession indicators. Both risk-return analysis … and stock return volatility do not contribute systematically to the forecasting of recessions in the US using the NBER … definition, but do so, to some extent, when using the OECD dating. In Germany and Japan, using a variety of volatility indicators …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014076057
This paper describes results from a new experiment studying determinants and effects of economic risk-taking. In each session four subjects choose three slots for ice fishing on their portion of a frozen lake. The farther out on the lake the higher are the returns but also the higher is the risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968931
We propose a new time-varying peaks over threshold model to study tail risk dynamics in equity markets: the laws of motion for the parameters are defined through the score-based approach. We apply the model to daily returns from U.S. size-sorted decile stock portfolios and show that large firm...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972558
In this paper, we investigate the dynamic relationship between financial market volatility, macroeconomic fundamentals … and investor sentiment, employing a two-factor model to decompose volatility into a persistent long-run component and a … aggregate demand and supply cause an increase in the persistent component of both stock and bond market volatility, and that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012984721
(Applied Financial Economics, 13, 693-700, 2003) on inflation and output on stock returns and volatility is extended by … emerging markets (Malaysia, India, Korea and Philippines). Results reveal that economic volatility, as measured by movement in … inflation, output growth, and interest rate, has weak predictor power on stock market volatility and returns. In line with the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013143522