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This study introduces the dynamic Gerber model (DGC) and evaluates its performance in the prediction of Value at Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) compared to alternative parametric, non-parametric and semi-parametric methods for estimating the covariance matrix of returns. Based on ES...
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estimate a novel risk-neutral quantile-based asymmetry measure (RNA) from S&P 500 index options. In contrast to existing risk … one to twelve weeks. Our findings suggest that ex-ante systematic asymmetry does matter when predicting excess market …
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