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I examine whether or not returns on stock markets are a leading indicator for real macroeconomic developments in Austria, Japan and the USA. Further I deal with the concept of stock market efficiency, the question whether or not information from real and financial sectors of the economy is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009750238
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We investigate the cross-sectional pattern of stock returns for eight emerging markets using Vector Autoregressive Approach (VAR) to test whether dividend yields can predict stock returns through impulse response characteristics. Our results confirm that dividend yield shocks play an important...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014205825
Even though the presence of the-day-of-the-week effect has been documented in finance literature, its presence in the aftermath of a financial crisis has not been explored. This paper investigates the presence of day-of-the-week effect and returns volatility in fifteen Asia Pacific Financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014215497
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Existing research indicates that it is possible to forecast potential long-term returns in the S&P 500 for periods of more than 10 years using the cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings ratio (CAPE). This paper concludes that this relationship has also existed internationally in 17 MSCI Country...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012998360
In this paper, we examine whether the creation or redemption ETF shares has a measurable and significant effect on the underlying stocks' returns in the closing auction. Our findings show that ETF flow-related stock transactions significantly affect stock prices. We provide empirical evidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012998366
This paper provides strong evidence of time-varying return predictability of three precious metals from January 1987 to September 2014. We use three variations of the variance ratio test, the nonlinear BDS test as well as the Hurst exponent to evaluate the time-varying return predictability of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013004057
Using a modified outlier identification procedure by Chen and Liu (1993), this article studies the large shocks of the Greater China stock markets. We find that while large shocks are typical in all the markets and more outliers appear in the Chinese stock markets than in the other markets. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013004298
We investigate cross-sectional patterns related to dividends in the CEE stock market. We investigate a broad sample of 1153 companies from 11 countries in years 2002-2014. We use sorting and tests based on cross-sectional regression, and apply tests of monotonic relation. The principal findings...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013005682