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We investigate the uncertainty dynamics surrounding extreme weather events through the lens of option and stock markets … by identifying market responses to the uncertainty regarding both potential hurricane landfall and subsequent economic … 5-10 percent, reflecting impact uncertainty. Using hurricane forecasts, we show that landfall uncertainty and potential …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012181922
The slope of the implied volatility term structure is positively related to future option returns. We rank firms based on the slope of the volatility term structure and analyze the returns for straddle portfolios. Straddle portfolios with high slopes of the volatility term structure outperform...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013008475
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011624483
with this hypothesis, we show that a one-standard-deviation increase in aggregate uncertainty amplifies the predictive … ability of sentiment for market returns by two to four times relative to when uncertainty is at its mean. We find similar … sensitive to sentiment and for anomaly returns is substantially larger in times of higher uncertainty. The results hold for both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012216707
"Leverage Effect" in the returns of BIST-100 index. Therefore, one can say that political uncertainty is still a problem for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012131511
This paper first examines to what extend the most puzzling phenomenon of stock returns momentum, may also concern emerging and little markets, such the Tunisian one, which accounts slightly less than 100 listed securities. The results indicate a pronounced and even stronger momentum effect that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009536150
We test whether asymmetric preferences for losses versus gains as in Ang, Chen, and Xing (2006) also affect the pricing of cash flow versus discount rate news as in Campbell and Vuolteenaho (2004). We construct a new four-fold beta decomposition, distinguishing cash flow and discount rate betas...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011382429
We build a macroeconomic model for Switzerland, the Euro Area, and the USA that drives the dynamics of several asset classes and the liabilities of a representative Swiss (defined-contribution) pension fund. This encompassing approach allows us to generate correlations between returns on assets...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010442892
In this paper, we document evidence that downside betas tend to comove more than upside betas during a financial crisis, but upside betas tend to comove more than the downside betas during financial booms. We find that the asymmetry between Downside-Beta Comovement and Upside-Beta Comovement is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010442899
This paper compares several investment strategies designed to exploit the low-beta anomaly. Although the notion of buying low-beta stocks and selling high-beta stocks is natural, a choice is necessary with respect to the relative weighting of high-beta stocks and low-beta stocks in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011553310