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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012815767
This paper examines the macro-spanning hypothesis for bond returns in international markets. Based on a large panel of real-time macro variables that are not subject to revisions, wefind that global macro factors have predictive power for bond returns unspanned by yield factors.Furthermore, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012856793
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Recent studies show that the consensus forecasts of professional forecasters and central bankers underreact to news relative to full-information rational expectations. However, can the treasury bond market anticipate such underreaction through information aggregation? To answer this question, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013292236