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12 years of high-frequency data from U.S. and German sovereign bond markets. We detect realized volatility and realized …We examine time-varying explanatory power of realized moments on subsequent bond futures excess returns using more than … traditional bond return predictors such as term or default spreads. Most importantly, we reveal the bond excess return …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012181035
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013455827
volatility, credit risk, value, and momentum premia. Our examination of government bond markets in 25 countries for years 1992 …The study investigated both the January effect and the "sell-in-May-and-go-away" anomaly in government bond returns. It …-2016 proved that both the bond returns and factor premia had remained unaffected by the January and "sell-in-May" effects. These …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012984180
. Seemingly, markets have been demanding more stocks instead of bonds. Yet, instead of observing higher bond rates, paradoxically …, bond rates have been persistently negative after the Lehman-Brothers collapse. To explain this paradox, we suggest that, in …, this rise in perceived market fragility alone can explain the drop in both bond rates and price-dividend ratios observed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011760864
-based structure. Liquidity conditions for EFSF bonds in the secondary market are different from those of large sovereign bond issuers …, which affects bond pricing. This paper offers the first study of the term structure of EFSF bond yields and a decomposition …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013403171
Expectations of risky bond payments are unobservable and recovery rates for sovereigns are hard to estimate because …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012307696
the variance of idiosyncratic returns. The estimation is performed on a time series of returns and option prices from 2006 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011410917
underlying stock (asset) is subject to discontinuous market regime type of shifts in its mean or volatility whose risk can be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130931
This paper studies the historical time-varying dynamics of risk for individual stocks in the U.S. market. Total risk of an individual stock is decomposed into two components, systematic risk and idiosyncratic risk, and both components are studied separately. We start from the historical trend in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012628441
kernel-based methods discussed in Giraitis et al. (2018), but relying on the estimation approach put forward in Morf et al …-varying compensation for expected and unexpected inflation shocks embedded in the sovereign bond yields of Germany, France, Japan and the … United States. Our empirical results suggest that the current environment of very low nominal sovereign bond yields, is a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842461