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We use machine learning methods to predict stock return volatility. Our out-of-sample prediction of realised volatility for a large cross-section of US stocks over the sample period from 1992 to 2016 is on average 44.1% against the actual realised volatility of 43.8% with an R2 being as high as...
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In recent years, support vector regression (SVR), a novel neural network (NN) technique, has been successfully used for …
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traditional Fama-MacBeth regression, and other supervised learning algorithms such as regression and tree-based algorithms. Our …
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Recurrent Support Vector Regression for a Nonlinear ARMA Model with Applications to Forecasting Financial Returns … Abstract: Motivated by the recurrent Neural Networks, this paper proposes a recurrent Support Vector Regression (SVR) procedure … opposed to the usual feedforward SVR. -- Recurrent support vector regression ; MLE ; recurrent MLP ; nonlinear ARMA …
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