We document the predictive ability and economic significance of global economic policy uncertainty for U.S. equity returns. After orthogonalizing global economic policy uncertainty (global EPU) with respect to the U.S. EPU, we find that it has significant predictive power for aggregate stock...

In our asymmetric-information asset pricing model, commonality in uninformed trading translates into a transient factor in returns. The factor is capable of simultaneously producing negative signs of return cross-autocorrelations, a feature that we document in data, and excess comovement in...

In our asymmetric-information asset pricing model, commonality in uninformed trading translates into a transient factor in returns. The factor is capable of simultaneously producing negative signs of return cross-autocorrelations, a feature that we document in data, and excess comovement in...

This paper investigates spillovers from foreign economies to the U.S. through changes in longterm Treasury yields. We document a decline in the contribution of U.S. domestic news to the variance of long-term Treasury yields and an increased importance of overnight yield changes—a rough proxy...

In this paper we show that temperature is an aggregate risk factor that adversely affects economic growth. Our argument is based on evidence from global capital markets which shows that the covariance between country equity returns and temperature (i.e., temperature betas) contains sharp...