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established that the gasoline supply in the United States (U.S.) must contain 10% ethanol. This work seeks to identify hedging … ratios using dynamic multivariate GARCH to best identify hedging opportunities in a newly developed futures market. The … ability for firms to hedge and regulators to supervise the ethanol futures market is crucial to both hedging potential losses …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012979327
This paper examines the effectiveness of using futures contracts as hedging instruments of: (1) alternative models of … volatility for estimating conditional variances and covariances; (2) alternative currencies; and (3) alternative maturities of …, Euro, British pound and Japanese yen, against the American dollar, are used to analyze hedge ratios and hedging …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013113663
The paper examines the performance of four multivariate volatility models, namely CCC, VARMA-GARCH, DCC and BEKK, for … the optimal portfolio weights of all multivariate volatility models for Brent suggest holding futures in larger … volatility model give the time-varying hedge ratios, and recommend to short in crude oil futures with a high proportion of one …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013149486
With the exception of naive methods for portfolio selection, such as the equal weighted approaches, all other methods of portfolio allocation are more or less sensitive to the quality of the inputs considered in constructing the models and risk measures utilised in the allocation framework. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013010841
We prove that the total risk of a portfolio held by an investor with preferences described by a power utility with subsistence or a HARA utility, is a weighted sum of the covariances between the portfolio's return and higher-order powers of that return, shifted by the subsistence level. We show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013153350
To examine the familiar tradeoff between risk and return in financial investments, we use a rolling two-stage stochastic program to compare mean-risk optimization models with time series momentum strategies. In a backtest of allocating investment between a market index and a risk-free asset, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013247805
Using high-frequency data, we decompose the time-varying beta for stocks into beta for continuous systematic risk and beta for discontinuous systematic risk. Estimated discontinuous betas for S&P500 constituents between 2003 and 2011 generally exceed the corresponding continuous betas. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011506397
single intuitive number, defined here as the “crash volatility”, to characterize the true left-tail risk as an alternative to … the usual downside deviation. The crash volatility can be fed into a typical mean-variance optimizer, allowing the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012844430
In this paper, we derive optimal investment policies at the industry portfolio level under the stochastic investment opportunities of dynamic and asymmetric properties. For this purpose, we present a new model of intertemporal dynamic portfolio choice as well as non-myopic optimal consumption...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855903
volatility control strategies and volatility target approaches to investment have gained a lot of interest as strategies able to … which no optimization is considered. In this contribution we focus on the role of volatility in downside risk reduction and … target volatility approach, into a multiperiod portfolio optimization model, through the introduction of a local volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013044390