The beta dispersion, which is the spread of betas on a stock market, can be interpreted as a measure of market vulnerability. This study examines the economic idea of the beta dispersion and its application as a market return predictor. Based on the empirical beta dispersion observed in the US...

Market timing is preferred path to alpha because it is very simple to implement even by individual investors. In this paper we apply the Hallerbach (2014) methodology to emerging markets from Asia and Eastern Europe. We find that by using volatility-weighted bets we improve significantly the...

Asset allocation strategies which utilize stop-loss and stop-gain rules may dramatically decrease risk and even increase long-term return relative to passive investing. I introduce an asset allocation strategy which shifts portfolio weights based on simplistic stop rules. The two-asset (S&P...

Academic criticism of classic Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) performance measures is not new. In particular, a number of authors have pointed out the shortcomings of using the Sharpe ratio for performance evaluation and the mean-variance framework for portfolio construction when the...

I investigate whether the relation between investor sentiment and profitable trading strategies is due to short sale constraints. I find that the average security in these strategies is not hard-to-short. Furthermore, the short leg does not appear to be harder to short or more overvalued than...