Predicted stock issuers (PSIs) are firms with expected “high-investment and low-profit” (HILP) profiles that earn unusually low returns. We carefully document important features of PSI firms to provide insights on the economic mechanism behind the HILP phenomenon. Top-PSI firms are...

Using data from a decade of surveys of corporate managers, I find evidence that firms with higher expected stock returns have a higher perceived cost of equity and use higher discount rates in capital budgeting. Variation in expected stock returns, as measured by exposure to equity risk factors,...

We examine how the market valuation of firms varies on account of characteristics that make them vulnerable to the COVID-19 pandemic across different stages of the crisis. Using plant location data that uniquely identify the vulnerability of firms to operational disruptions, we find that firms...

This paper develops a behavioural asset pricing model in which traders are not fully rational as is commonly assumed in the literature. The model derived is underpinned by the notion that agents' preferences are affected by their degree of optimism or pessimism regarding future market states. It...

Greed has been shown to be an important economic motive. Both the popular press as well as scientific papers have mentioned questionable practices by greedy bankers and investors as one of the root causes of the 2008 global financial crisis. In spite of these suggestions, there is as of yet no...

In this paper, I argue that we can use consumer and investor perceptions to forecast short-term fluctuations in asset prices. Using tweets scraped from Twitter between 2009 and 2019, I perform textual analysis to construct daily sentiment indices. While other scholars have relied on third-party...

This working paper is written by Nina Klocke (Paderborn University), Daniel Muller (Paderborn University), Tim Hasso (Bond University) and Matthias Pelster (Paderborn University).This paper studies the impact of social interactions on investors’ trading behaviour and risk-taking. We analyse a...

We construct a monthly Presidential Economic Approval Rating (PEAR) index from 1981 to 2019, by averaging ratings on president’s handling of the economy across various national polls. In the cross-section, stocks with high betas to changes in the PEAR index significantly under-perform those...

We exploit textual analysis tools and study the effects of information overload—an excess level of information faced by decision-makers—on future stock market returns using daily data from the New York Times over eight decades. Information overload increases information and estimation risk,...

We study the relationship between the Fama and French (2015) five factors’ betas and the expected overnight versus intraday stock returns in China’s A-share markets. We find that factor betas and expected returns exhibit contrasting relationships overnight versus intraday. The market, value,...