Given the well-documented effects of public policy on financial markets, one would expect political insiders to be capable of enriching themselves through savvy investing. Consistent with this, two prior studies of stock trades in Congress conclude that members of both the House and Senate...

We show that the stock market pricing the presidential margin of victory in a nonlinear concave fashion, with a higher price for medium than slight or crushing victories. We conjecture that the margin of victory reflects president confidence and the ability to execute policies. A small margin...

This study demonstrates how a barbell strategy invested primarily in fixed income assets coupled with in-the-money long-term call options on various equity asset classes can achieve a significant percentage of upside appreciation and significantly reduce downside risk. An examination of...

Wir untersuchen den Querschnitt von über 1200 Kryptowährungen, gesammelt von 350 Handelsplätzen, in der Zeitspanne von Januar 2014 bis Juni 2020. Im speziellen untersuchen wir, ob weit verbreitete Charakteristika, wie Beta (Fama/MacBeth (1973)), Size (Banz (1981)) oder Momentum...

Risk-neutral valuation is used to value a portfolio and decompose it into the components accruing to its stakeholders. The analysis incorporates managers' expected performance and contract renewal issues. A managed portfolio's economic value is shown to differ from its net asset value. A better...

Recent studies highlight positive effect of political connections on firm performance and stock returns. This paper shows that the positive effect of political connections on the cross-sectional stock returns disappears in the lame duck presidency period, defined as the last two years before the...

The paper assesses the most recent performance, persistence and riskiness of contrarian portfolios. Evidence from the major world and European market of France shows that such portfolios appear profitable on average, but their performance is not persistent from one holding period to the next;...

Allowing for correlated squared returns across two consecutive periods, portfolio theory for two periods is developed. This correlation makes it necessary to work with non-Gaussian models. The two period conic portfolio problem is formulated and implemented. This development leads to a mean ask...

We investigate whether the distributional characteristics of corporate bonds predict the cross-sectional differences in future bond returns. The results indicate a significantly positive (negative) link between volatility (skewness) and expected returns, whereas kurtosis does not make a robust...

This paper investigates the predictive power of share issuance on equity returns in BIST. The share issuance measure which is the annual logarithmic change in shares outstanding that is adjusted for distribution events is not significantly related to expected equity returns in a univariate...