Using monthly data from 01/1985 to 12/2012, we find that the accounting valuation-based predictor introduced in Lee, Myers, and Swaminathan (1999) has excellent in-sample and out-of-sample predictive performance. Our finding suggests that the accounting valuation-based predictor does not suffer...

Because stock price generally deviates from the intrinsic value, stock price is a noisy indicator of the intrinsic value. As an expected return proxy, the implied cost of capital (ICC)—the internal rate of return that equates the noisy stock price to discounted expected future dividends—thus...

Financial distress has a dual effect on stock pricing: it affects both investors’ expected return and stock pricing efficiency. Therefore, the estimated relation between it and realized return captures both the relation between it and expected return and the relation between it and the...

The stocks of firms with poor accounting information quality (AIQ) comove least, as gauged by the correlation between returns on two stocks. Only undiversifiable risk is rewarded with a premium and the undiversifiable risk of a diversified stock portfolio increases with correlations between the...

This paper examines the impact of loan loss provisions (LLPs) on return predictability during 1994-2017. We find that on average, LLPs are negatively associated with one year ahead stock returns. This effect is particularly significant during the global financial crisis but much weaker during...