Showing 1 - 9 of 9
This paper discusses how unrealized return dispersion across individuals affects the equity risk premium. We specify an intertemporal capital asset pricing model with heterogeneous preferences depending on investors’ unrealized returns and uncover that unrealized return dispersion negatively...
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We document a puzzling phenomenon, namely that overnight returns in Chinese stock markets are on average statistically and economically significantly negative. This finding seems to violate conventional asset pricing theory, yet the anomaly is robust to the choice of stock exchange, type of...
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By decomposing asset returns into potential maximum gain (PMG) and potential maximum loss (PML) with price extremes, this study empirically investigated the relationships between PMG and PML. We found significant asymmetry between PMG and PML. PML significantly contributed to forecasting PMG but...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011972589
This paper derives a new decomposition of stock returns using price extremes and proposes a conditional autoregressive shape (CARS) model with beta density to predict the direction of stock returns. The CARS model is continuously valued, which makes it different from binary classification...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014289111
Japanese candlestick has been widely used in investment practice, however its predicting power has not yet been scrutinized in academic literature. This paper investigates the forecasting power of Japanese candlestick augumented by Halloween effect in stock returns. Empirical studies performed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013024665
By decomposing stock returns with high-low extreme values, this paper investigates the predictability of Chinese stock market with a vector autoregressive model. Empirical studies, both in-sample and out-of-sample, performed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index (SSEC) show that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013079244