This paper uses the Case-Shiller U.S. house price indices to analyze spatial dependencies across 16 metropolitan markets for the period January 1989 to June 2006. Return transmission patterns establish New York, San Francisco, and Miami to be among the most influential markets. In terms of...

This paper proposes a variant application of the Merton distance-to-default model by employing implied volatility and implied a cost of capital to forecast defaults. The proposed model's results are compared with predictions obtained from three popular models in different setups. We find that...

This paper proposes a variant application of the Merton distance-to-default model by employing implied volatility and implied cost of capital to predict defaults. The proposed model's results are compared with predictions obtained from three popular models in different setups. We find that our...