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Using Credit Default Swap spreads, we construct a forward-looking, market-implied carbon risk factor and show that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013417581
We calculate the social cost of carbon (SCC) under stochastic climate volatility resulting from uncertainty about … climate volatility risks substantially increase the SCC both in the business-as-usual and optimal abatement policy scenario … more frequent disasters for equal expected value. Overall we show that stochastic volatility has a major impact on the SCC. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014290496
We produce novel empirical evidence on the relevance of temperature volatility shocks for the dynamics of macro … volatility and the macroeconomy varies over time. First, the sign of the causality from temperature volatility to TFP growth is …) period temperature volatility shocks positively (negatively) affect TFP growth. In the post-1950 period, temperature …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892874
risk premium, with the overall equity premium depending on the volatility of the stochastic process that governs climate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014108526
premium, with the overall equity premium depending on the volatility of the stochastic process that governs climate change …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011962146
It is not immediately clear how to discount distant-future events, like climate change, when the distant-future discount rate itself is uncertain. The so-called "Weitzman-Gollier puzzle" is the fact that two seemingly symmetric and equally plausible ways of dealing with uncertain future discount...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003910677
It is not immediately clear how to discount distant-future events, like climate change, when the distant-future discount rate itself is uncertain. The so-called “Weitzman-Gollier puzzle” is the fact that two seemingly symmetric and equally plausible ways of dealing with uncertain future...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316287
Climate-linked bonds, issued by governments and supranational organizations, are pivotal in advancing towards a net-zero economy. These bonds adjust their payoffs based on climate variables such as average temperature and greenhouse gas emissions, providing investors a hedge against long-term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015181854
Climate change is already a systemic risk to the global economy. While there is a large body of literature documenting potential economic consequences, there is scarce research on the link between climate change and sovereign risk. This paper therefore investigates the impact of climate change...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012828232
We propose a measure of investors' climate sentiment by performing sentiment analysis on StockTwits posts on climate change and global warming. We find that when investors' climate sentiment is high, emission stocks are relatively overpriced. Moreover, we show that an increase in carbon prices...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013242744