Showing 1 - 10 of 1,556
on predictive accuracy of aggregate demand in a systematic way. The results of the prediction experiments are compared to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010330133
Proxy variable methods are among the leading techniques designed to remedy endogeneity in applied research. However, the method eliminates endogeneity under restrictive assumptions that often make it impractical. I show that the proxy method is useful under weaker assumptions. Given assumptions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014158806
Recently, there has been a growing interest in developing econometric tools to conduct counterfactual analysis with aggregate data when a "treated" unit suffers an intervention, such as a policy change, and there is no obvious control group. Usually, the proposed methods are based on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011579472
Using two measures of the fiscal position, the cyclically adjusted primary budget balance (CAPB) and the total budget balance, we assess the Twin Deficit Hypothesis for the Euro Area in the period 1995-2020. Furthermore, we estimate time-varying coefficients of the current account balance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012813893
This paper provides a new methodology for the analysis of multiple long run relations in panel data models where the cross section dimension, n, is large relative to the time series dimension, T. For panel data models with large n researchers have focussed on panels with a single long run...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015409539
The main aim of this paper is to compare the size and size-adjusted power properties of four residual-based and one maximum-likelihood-based panel cointegration tests with the help of Monte Carlo simulations. In this study the panel-p, the group-p, the panel-t, the group-t statistics of Pedroni...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003633799
The purpose of this paper is to propose a new likelihood-based panel cointegration test in the presence of a linear time trend in the data generating process. This new test is an extension of the likelihood ratio (LR) test of Saikkonen & Lütkepohl (2000) for trend-adjusted data to the panel...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003796158
The authors address the issue of estimation and inference in dependent non-stationary panels of small cross-section dimensions. The main conclusion is that the best results are obtained applying bootstrap inference to single-equation estimators, such as fully modified ordinary least squares and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009544380
We address the issue of estimation and inference in dependent non-stationary panels of small cross-section dimensions. The main conclusion is that the best results are obtained applying bootstrap inference to single-equation estimators, such as FM-OLS and DOLS. SUR estimators perform badly, or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009409345
This paper investigates the relationship between energy prices and the real effective exchange rate of commodity-exporting countries. We consider two sets of countries: 10 energy-exporting and 23 non-fuel commodity-exporting countries over the period 1980-2011. Estimating a panel cointegrating...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010225994