Narrow search
Showing 1 - 10 of 6,678
Cover Image
Forecasting ECB policy rates with different monetary policy rules
Belke, Ansgar; Klose, Jens - 2019
This article compares two types of monetary policy rules - the Taylor-Rule and the Orphanides-Rule - with respect to their forecasting properties for the policy rates of the European Central Bank. In this respect the basic rules, results from estimated models and augmented rules are compared....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012063951
Cover Image
Forecasting ECB policy rates with different monetary policy rules
Belke, Ansgar; Klose, Jens - 2019
This article compares two types of monetary policy rules - the Taylor-Rule and the Orphanides-Rule - with respect to their forecasting properties for the policy rates of the European Central Bank. In this respect the basic rules, results from estimated models and augmented rules are compared....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012034314
Cover Image
US post-war monetary policy : what caused the Great Moderation?
Minford, Patrick; Ou, Zhirong - 2010 - Updated November 2010
Using indirect inference based on a VAR we confront US data from 1972 to 2007 with a standard New Keynesian model in which an optimal timeless policy is substituted for a Taylor rule. We find the model explains the data both for the Great Acceleration and the Great Moderation. The implication is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008757931
Cover Image
CBDC and business cycle dynamics in a New Monetarist New Keynesian model
Assenmacher-Wesche, Katrin; Bitter, Lea; Ristiniemi, Annukka - 2023
To study implications of an interest-bearing CBDC on the economy, we integrate a New Monetarist-type decentralised market that explicitly accounts for the means-of-exchange function of bank deposits and CBDC into a New Keynesian model with financial frictions. The central bank influences the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014314330
Cover Image
Mind the output gap : the disconnect of growth and inflation during recessions and convex Phillips curves in the euro area
Groß, Marco; Semmler, Willi - Task Force on Low Inflation (LIFT) - 2017
We develop a theoretical model that features a business cycle-dependent relation between out- put, price inflation and inflation expectations, augmenting the model by Svensson (1997) with a nonlinear Phillips curve that reflects the rationale underlying the capacity constraint theory (Macklem...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636803
Cover Image
Nicht zu früh bremsen!: Der Einfluss der Geldpolitik auf die langfristige Wirtschaftsentwicklung in Deutschland und den USA
Schettkat, Ronald; Sun, Rongrong - 2009
Neutralität von Geldpolitik wurde diese bei der Suche nach den Ursachen europäischer Arbeitslosigkeit verschont. Tatsächlich … Arbeitsmarktinstitutionen. Wir argumentieren, dass das Zusammenwirken negativer Schocks und einer restriktiven Geldpolitik die wesentliche -wenn … Europa war. Die Bundesbank -Europas 'Zentralbank' vor Etablierung der EZB- hat eine asymmetrische Geldpolitik in dem Sinne …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010291094
Cover Image
Nicht zu früh bremsen! : der Einfluss der Geldpolitik auf die langfristige Wirtschaftsentwicklung in Deutschland und den USA
Schettkat, Ronald; Sun, Rongrong - 2009
Neutralität von Geldpolitik wurde diese bei der Suche nach den Ursachen europäischer Arbeitslosigkeit verschont. Tatsächlich … Arbeitsmarktinstitutionen. Wir argumentieren, dass das Zusammenwirken negativer Schocks und einer restriktiven Geldpolitik die wesentliche –wenn … Europa war. Die Bundesbank –Europas „Zentralbank“ vor Etablierung der EZB- hat eine asymmetrische Geldpolitik in dem Sinne …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003836155
Cover Image
Revisiting the Great Moderation : policy or luck?
Minford, Patrick; Ou, Zhirong; Wickens, Michael R. - 2014 - May 2012, updated April 2014
We investigate the relative roles of monetary policy and shocks in causing the Great Moderation, using indirect inference where a DSGE model is tested for its ability to mimic a VAR describing the data. A New Keynesian model with a Taylor Rule and one with the Optimal Timeless Rule are both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010354539
Cover Image
Monetary policy analysis in real-time: Vintage combination from a real-time dataset
Altavilla, Carlo; Ciccarelli, Matteo - 2011
This paper provides a general strategy for analyzing monetary policy in real time which accounts for data uncertainty without explicitly modelling the revision process. The strategy makes use of all the data available from a real-time data matrix and averages model estimates across all data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274753
Cover Image
Monetary policy with model uncertainty: distribution forecast targeting
Svensson, Lars E. O.; Williams, Noah - 2005
We examine optimal and other monetary policies in a linear-quadratic setup with a relatively general form of model uncertainty, so-called Markov jump-linear-quadratic systems extended to include forward-looking variables. The form of model uncertainty our framework encompasses includes : simple...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295780