Similar Search Results

CBDC and business cycle dynamics in a New Monetarist New Keynesian model

Assenmacher, Katrin; Bitter, Lea; Ristiniemi, Annukka - 2023

To study implications of an interest-bearing CBDC on the economy, we integrate a New Monetarist-type decentralised market that explicitly accounts for the means-of-exchange function of bank deposits and CBDC into a New Keynesian model with financial frictions. The central bank influences the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014314330

Unemployment fluctuations and nominal GDP targeting

Billi, Roberto M. - 2020

I evaluate the welfare performance of a target for the level of nominal GDP in a New Keynesian model with unemployment, accounting for a zero lower bound (ZLB) constraint on the nominal interest rate. Nominal GDP targeting is compared to employment targeting, a conventional Taylor rule, and the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012161495

Forecast uncertainty and the taylor rule

Bauer, Christian; Neuenkirch, Matthias - 2015

In this paper, we derive a modification of a forward-looking Taylor rule, which integrates two variables measuring the uncertainty of inflation and GDP growth forecasts into an otherwise standard New Keynesian model. We show that certainty-equivalence in New Keynesian models is a consequence of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010512077

Mind the output gap : the disconnect of growth and inflation during recessions and convex Phillips curves in the euro area

Groß, Marco; Semmler, Willi - Task Force on Low Inflation (LIFT) - 2017

We develop a theoretical model that features a business cycle-dependent relation between out- put, price inflation and inflation expectations, augmenting the model by Svensson (1997) with a nonlinear Phillips curve that reflects the rationale underlying the capacity constraint theory (Macklem...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636803

Monetary policy analysis in real-time: Vintage combination from a real-time dataset

Altavilla, Carlo; Ciccarelli, Matteo - 2011

This paper provides a general strategy for analyzing monetary policy in real time which accounts for data uncertainty without explicitly modelling the revision process. The strategy makes use of all the data available from a real-time data matrix and averages model estimates across all data...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274753

Nicht zu früh bremsen!: Der Einfluss der Geldpolitik auf die langfristige Wirtschaftsentwicklung in Deutschland und den USA

Schettkat, Ronald; Sun, Rongrong - 2009

Neutralität von Geldpolitik wurde diese bei der Suche nach den Ursachen europäischer Arbeitslosigkeit verschont. Tatsächlich … Arbeitsmarktinstitutionen. Wir argumentieren, dass das Zusammenwirken negativer Schocks und einer restriktiven Geldpolitik die wesentliche -wenn … Europa war. Die Bundesbank -Europas 'Zentralbank' vor Etablierung der EZB- hat eine asymmetrische Geldpolitik in dem Sinne …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010291094

Revisiting the Great Moderation : policy or luck?

Minford, Patrick; Ou, Zhirong; Wickens, Michael R. - 2014 - May 2012, updated April 2014

We investigate the relative roles of monetary policy and shocks in causing the Great Moderation, using indirect inference where a DSGE model is tested for its ability to mimic a VAR describing the data. A New Keynesian model with a Taylor Rule and one with the Optimal Timeless Rule are both...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010354539

Nicht zu früh bremsen! : der Einfluss der Geldpolitik auf die langfristige Wirtschaftsentwicklung in Deutschland und den USA

Schettkat, Ronald; Sun, Rongrong - 2009

Neutralität von Geldpolitik wurde diese bei der Suche nach den Ursachen europäischer Arbeitslosigkeit verschont. Tatsächlich … Arbeitsmarktinstitutionen. Wir argumentieren, dass das Zusammenwirken negativer Schocks und einer restriktiven Geldpolitik die wesentliche –wenn … Europa war. Die Bundesbank –Europas „Zentralbank“ vor Etablierung der EZB- hat eine asymmetrische Geldpolitik in dem Sinne …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003836155

Monetary policy with model uncertainty: distribution forecast targeting

Svensson, Lars E. O.; Williams, Noah - 2005

We examine optimal and other monetary policies in a linear-quadratic setup with a relatively general form of model uncertainty, so-called Markov jump-linear-quadratic systems extended to include forward-looking variables. The form of model uncertainty our framework encompasses includes : simple...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295780

Forecasting ECB policy rates with different monetary policy rules

Belke, Ansgar; Klose, Jens - 2019

This article compares two types of monetary policy rules - the Taylor-Rule and the Orphanides-Rule - with respect to their forecasting properties for the policy rates of the European Central Bank. In this respect the basic rules, results from estimated models and augmented rules are compared....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012034314