This chapter examines crisis propagation mechanisms to the Southeast European exchange-rate markets during the 1998 Russian crisis and the Turkish crisis of 2001. It focuses on whether and how the crises spread to these markets after interdependencies and common external shocks are accounted...

We evaluate and partially challenge the 'household leverage' view of the Great Recession. In the data, employment and consumption declined more in states where household debt declined more. We study a model where liquidity constraints amplify the response of consumption and employment to changes...

We propose a model to identify the causes of rising profits and concentration, and declining entry and investment in the US economy. Our approach combines a rich structural DSGE model with cross-sectional identification from firm and industry data. Using asset prices, our model estimates the...

We evaluate and partially challenge the 'household leverage' view of the Great Recession. In the data, employment and consumption declined more in states where household debt declined more. We study a model where liquidity constraints amplify the response of consumption and employment to changes...

As of 2015, U.S. log output per capita was 12 percent below what its pre-2008 linear trend would predict. To understand why, I develop and estimate a model of the US with demographics, real and monetary shocks, and the occasionally binding ZLB on nominal rates. Demographic changes generate...

We evaluate and partially challenge the 'household leverage' view of the Great Recession. In the data, employment and consumption declined more in states where household debt declined more. We study a model where liquidity constraints amplify the response of consumption and employment to changes...

We combine a structural model with cross-sectional micro data to identify the causes andconsequences of rising concentration in the US economy. Using asset prices and industrydata, we estimate realized and anticipated shocks that drive entry and concentration. Wevalidate our approach by showing...