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We empirically evaluate a behavioural model with boundedly rational traders who disagree about the persistence of deviations from the fundamental stock price. Fundamentalist traders believe in mean-reversion, while chartists extrapolate trends. Agents gradually switch between the two rules,...
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sentiment shock that drives the movements of bubbles and is transmitted to the real economy through endogenous credit …We present an estimated dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model of stock market bubbles and business cycles using … Bayesian methods. Bubbles emerge through a positive feedback loop mechanism supported by self-fulfilling beliefs. We identify a …
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