As a measure of labor market strength, the raw employment-to-population ratio (EPOP) confounds employment outcomes with … labor supply behavior. Movement in the EPOP depends on the relative movements of the employment rate (one minus the … unemployment rate) and the labor force participation rate. This paper proposes an adjustment to the calculation of the EPOP using …

Statistics. The methodology is to analyze the transition rates and implied steady-state levels of employment and unemployment … flow from unemployment to employment actually increased. As another example, changes in the probability of moving between …Unemployment in the U.S. has risen dramatically since the start of the recession in December 2007, going from about 6 …

Surveys of Youth, we find that negative labor market outcomes during high unemployment periods are mitigated by exposure to a … negative impact of high unemployment periods on labor market outcomes of disadvantaged groups, making extension of high …

Surveys of Youth, we find that negative labor market outcomes during high unemployment periods are mitigated by exposure to a …