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Die vorliegende Arbeit untersucht, wie sich Angebots-, Nachfrage- und geldpolitische Schocks aus den Vereinigten Staaten auf Deutschland übertragen. Dabei wird ein so genanntes factor-augmented vector autoregressive model (FAVAR) auf einen neu zusammengestellten Datensatz mit mehr als 200...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003919815
and productivity impacts are magnified when tariffs rise during expansions and when they are imposed by more advanced or … smaller (as opposed to developing or larger) economies; effects are asymmetric, being larger when tariffs go up than when they …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012817566
and productivity impacts are magnified when tariffs rise during expansions and when they are imposed by more advanced or … smaller (as opposed to developing or larger) economies; effects are asymmetric, being larger when tariffs go up than when they …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014579899
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This paper describes a methodology to estimate the coefficients, to test specification hypotheses and to conduct policy exercises in multi-country VAR models with cross unit interdependencies, unit specific dynamics and time variations in the coefficients. The framework of analysis is Bayesian:...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012780504
Excessive heat and cold weather waves may affect economic activity through energy markets. Yet, if a clear distinction of those events from other sources of variation in the economy would help central banks in stabilizing inflation is a research question that lacks theoretical and empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014084410
out. If imposed on imports in upstream sectors, import tariffs lower domestic output in downstream sectors; if imposed … downstream, they raise upstream production. The aggregate effect of tariffs can be recessionary or expansionary—depending on the … strength of upstream and downstream effects. Tariffs raise inflation no matter what, but how persistently they do so also …
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