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constraints. The paper argues that these pre-existing conditions, all favorable to the coronavirus, have been created, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013228903
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012294923
We decompose the macroeconomic impact of Covid-19 in the US using three production network measures. First, we estimate the aggregate indirect effect of sectoral employment shocks, finding these “network spillovers” to account for ≈72% of the decline in real GDP over the second quarter of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014256405
Cloyne (2013) constructs a novel dataset documenting fiscal tax shocks in the United Kingdom using the narrative approach developed by Romer and Romer (2010), and estimates the impact of tax changes on GDP. He finds that a tax cut of one percent of GDP causes a 0.6 percent increase in output in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014556602
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001302563
This paper argues that, in the presence of intersectoral input–output linkages, microeconomic idiosyncratic shocks may lead to aggregate fluctuations. We show that, as the economy becomes more disaggregated, the rate at which aggregate volatility decays is determined by the structure of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014042387
This paper argues that in the presence of intersectoral input-output linkages, microeconomic idiosyncratic shocks may lead to aggregate fluctuations. In particular, it shows that, as the economy becomes more disaggregated, the rate at which aggregate volatility decays is determined by the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009489113
I show that inter-firm lending plays an important role in business cycle fluctuations. I first build a tractable network model of the economy in which trade in intermediate goods is financed by supplier credit. In the model, a financial shock to one firm affects its ability to make payments to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011932181
This report discusses the economic impact of the Coronavirus/COVID-19 crisis across industries, and countries. It also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012703975
We show that financial variables contribute to the forecast of GDP growth during the Great Recession, providing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012829414