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information sets with data relevant to euro area inflation. Our analysis of survey responses reveals several interesting results … stability, which acted as a focal point for long-term expectations. Second, the turmoil in euro area bond markets triggered by …-term expectations. By contrast, longterm expectations did not react to developments of the euro area wide fiscal burden. Third …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014176759
information sets with data relevant to euro area inflation. Our analysis of survey responses reveals several interesting results … stability, which acted as a focal point for long-term expectations. Second, the turmoil in euro area bond markets triggered by …-term expectations. By contrast, long-term expectations did not react to developments of the euro area wide fiscal burden. Third …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119068
-time experiment shows that real M1 can improve output gap estimates for euro area data. For many periods the cyclical component of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010248220
that stress in the eurozone is mainly due to different trend growth rates and that for most of the Euro-zone countries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317182
The outcome of the referendum on the UK's membership of the European Union in June 2016 was largely unanticipated by politicians and pundits alike. Even after the "Leave" vote, the uncertainty surrounding the withdrawal process might have affected the UK economy. We draw on an official list of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013194430
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010394237
Im Zentrum dieser Dissertation steht das Beschreiben und Erklären von Konjunkturdynamiken. Motiviert durch den außerordentlich starken wirtschaftlichen Einbruch in 2008/2009 betont die Arbeit dabei die Wichtigkeit der Nutzung von nichtlinearen Modellansätzen. Die Dissertation kann als Beitrag...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012154125
euro area in terms of frequency content and phasing of cycles. The methodology uses the continuous wavelet transform (CWT … phasing between the three core members of the euro area (France, Germany and Italy) have increased since the launch of the … euro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014223612
phase angle is illustrated with a scale-dependent examination of business cycle synchronization between 11 euro zone member … countries. The study is supplemented with wavelet analysis of variance and covariance of the euro zone business cycles. The … wavelet evidence on dating the Great Moderation in the euro zone …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013126914
Monitoring economic conditions in real time, or nowcasting, is among the key tasks routinely performed by economists. Nowcasting entails some key challenges, which also characterise modern Big Data analytics, often referred to as the three "Vs": the large number of time series continuously...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012259379