We make four contributions in this paper. First, we provide a core of macroeconomic time series usable for systematic research on China. Second, we document, through various empirical methods, the robust findings about striking patterns of trend and cycle. Third, we build a theoretical model...

Using a proprietary database from a large Chinese state-owned bank, we examine whether information evolved from banking relationships predicts commercial loan default by industrial firms. We find that the bank's relationship information is significantly linked to the incidence of default, and...

In 2015, China implemented a debt-to-bond swap program that required local governments to replace outstanding debts with local government bonds, which are considered low-risk assets for commercial banks under Basel III regulations. We study the empirical effects of the debt-swap program on bank...

We study the impact of China’s 2013 implementation of Basel III on bank risk-taking and its responses to monetary policy shocks using confidential loan-level data from a large Chinese bank. Guided by theory, we use a difference-in-difference identification, exploiting cross-sectional...

We study the impact of China's 2013 implementation of Basel III on bank risk-taking and its responses to monetary policy shocks using confidential loan-level data from a large Chinese bank. Guided by theory, we use a difference-in-difference identification, exploiting cross-sectional differences...

We present evidence that tightened bank capital requirements after China implemented the Basel III capital regulations in 2013 have reduced bank risk-taking following expansionary monetary policy shocks. Under the new regulations, a bank can boost its effective capital adequacy ratio (CAR) by...