The COVID-19 pandemic has upended the U.S. economy and labor market. We assess the initial spike in unemployment due to … the virus response and possible paths for the official unemployment rate through 2021. Substantial uncertainty surrounds … the path for measured unemployment, depending on the path of the virus and containment measures and their impact on …

Survey (LFS) to construct worker transition rates across employment, unemployment, and inactivity. Our approach involves … of job search from inactivity compared to unemployment. This factor provides enough structure to prevent arbitrary … splitting of unemployment outflows between employment and inactivity. In turn, the estimated job search factor can be used in a …

stock and flow data to understand key developments. We find dramatic changes in employment, unemployment and labour market …

This paper studies the relationship between labor market institutions and policies and labor market performance using a … econometric analysis implies that institutions matter for labor market outcomes, and that deregulation of labor markets improves … their performance. The analysis also suggests several significant interactions between different institutions, which are in …

document how worker flows between employment, unemployment, and out of the labor force vary by gender and age and contribute to …