Most macroeconomic data is continuously revised as additional information becomes available. We suggest that revisions …

Most macroeconomic data is continuously revised as additional information becomes available. We suggest that revisions …

Data revisions to national accounts pose a serious challenge to policy decision making. Well-behaved revisions should … be unbiased, small and unpredictable. This paper shows that revisions to German national accounts are biased, large and … predictable. Moreover, using filtering techniques designed to process data subject to revisions, the real-time forecasting …

revised. Implicitly, the possibility of data revisions creates an element of uncertainty around the very same data driving … policy decisions. Given that such uncertainty could be mitigated if data revisions were predictable, this paper sets out to … identify any systematic patterns in the Maltese 'Real GDP' data and underlying revisions which could in turn prove useful when …

. -- Quality of statistical data ; real-time data ; signal-to-noise ratio ; forecasts ; revisions … the least reliable, whereas real GDP and real private consumption data are the most reliable. In addition, early forecasts … forecasts of all the variables seem to be no more accurate than naive forecasts based on the historical mean of the final data …

. -- Quality of statistical data ; real-time data ; signal-to-noise ratio ; forecasts ; revisions … the least reliable, whereas real GDP and real private consumption data are the most reliable. In addition, early forecasts … forecasts of all the variables seem to be no more accurate than nai͏̈ve forecasts based on the historical mean of the final data …

the least reliable, whereas real GDP and real private consumption data are the most reliable. In addition, early forecasts … forecasts of all the variables seem to be no more accurate than naive forecasts based on the historical mean of the final data …