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as benchmark. Finally, we replicate the forecasting experiment including as predictors both an indicator of unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012208423
Because macroeconomic data is published with a substantial delay, assessing the health of the economy during the rapidly evolving Covid-19 crisis is challenging. We develop a fever curve for the Swiss economy using publicly available daily financial market and news data. The indicator can be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012609073
This documentation concisely describes the dynamic stochastic general-equilibrium model that the ifo Institute currently uses for simulations and business-cycle analysis. The model consists of three countries and contains a wide range of rigidities. The model is regularly estimated by quarterly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012887592
passes and new source data become available and conceptual changes are made. How is forecasting influenced by the fact that … motivating their potential influence on forecasts and on forecasting models. The data set consists of a set of data vintages … evaluating forecasts and we examine the techniques of repeated observation forecasting, illustrate the differences in U.S. data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014023689
the most relevant recent developments in this field of economic forecasting. To begin with, we analyze the problem of … resulting leading indicator based forecasts, and review the recent literature on the forecasting performance of leading …
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The Chicago Fed dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model is used for policy analysis and forecasting at the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014369357