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This paper evaluates the forecast performance of boosting, a variable selection device, and compares it with the … comparison methodology, we find that boosting is a serious competitor for forecasting US industrial production growth in the …
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We use a machine-learning approach known as Boosted Regression Trees (BRT) to reexamine the usefulness of selected leading indicators for predicting recessions. We estimate the BRT approach on German data and study the relative importance of the indicators and their marginal effects on the...
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