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moments, we show that it can quantitatively account for the observed stock price volatility, the persistence of the price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011489917
realistic assumption of boundedly rational learning where agents are assumed to use only a limited set of information to form …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011048693
realistic assumption of boundedly rational learning where agents are assumed to use only a limited set of information to form … differences in the adjustment path to the shocks to the economy when agent form expectations using our learning approach compared …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605362
Different theories of expectation formation and learning usually yield different outcomes for realized market prices in … dynamic models. The purpose of this paper is to investigate expectation formation and learning in a controlled experimental … measured by the variance is significantly larger than the amplitude under RE, implying persistent excess volatility. However …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011333266
This chapter provides a survey of the recent work on learning in the context of macroeconomics. Learning has several … roles. First, it provides a boundedly rational model of how rational expectations can be achieved. Secondly, learning acts … as a selection device in models with multiple REE (rational expectations equilibria). Third, the learning dynamics …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014024243
We study a simple, microfounded macroeconomic system in which the monetary authority employs a Taylor-type policy rule. We analyze situations in which the self-confirming equilibrium is unique and learnable according to Bullard and Mitra (2002). We explore the prospects for the use of 'large...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298275
demand and house prices and reinforce agents' optimism (pessimism). Bayesian learning about house prices can endogenously …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012058882
Experience-Based Learning (EBL) that renders expectations heterogeneous across age groups. Under EBL, the age … volatility, output is always less volatile due to the reduced sensitivity of expectations to monetary policy. Second, under EBL …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012623160
In this article, we investigate the possibility of sunspot equilibria to emerge from a process of learning and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011263927
demand and house prices and reinforce agents' optimism (pessimism). Bayesian learning about house prices can endogenously …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010818183