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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010492079
Using belief elicitation, the paper investigates the formation and the evolution of beliefs in a signalling game in … which a common prior on Sender's type is not induced. Beliefs are elicited about the type of the Sender and about the … strategies of the players. The experimental subjects often start with diffuse uniform beliefs and update them in view of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009535526
endogenously influence whether learning occurs through its policy choices (policy experimentation), future political competition … unilaterally, but faces competition from a political opponent in the future. Both parties care about voters' payoffs, but they have … different beliefs about how policy choices will map into future economic outcomes. We show that when the incumbent party can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011117645
endogenously influence whether learning occurs through its policy choices (policy experimentation), future political competition … unilaterally, but faces competition from a political opponent in the future. Both parties care about voters' payoffs, but they have … different beliefs about how policy choices will map into future economic outcomes. We show that when the incumbent party can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010791257
We analyze a two-player game of strategic experimentation with two-armed bandits. Each player has to decide in continuous time whether to use a safe arm with a known payoff or a risky arm whose likelihood of delivering payoffs is initially unknown. The quality of the risky arms is perfectly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010364305
version of a cobweb model. In an evolutionary learning set-up, which is imitative, principals can have different beliefs about …We relax the common assumption of homogeneous beliefs in principal-agent relationships with adverse selection … uniform belief depends on the relative size of the bias in beliefs. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012607986
We introduce learning by doing in a dynamic contest. Contestants compete in an early round and can use the experience … from the learning by doing effect …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014194377
In dynamic promotion contests, where performance measurement is noisy and ordinal, selection can be improved by biasing later stages in favor of early leaders. Even in the worst-case scenario, where noise swamps ability differences in determining relative performance, optimal bias is i) strictly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013362244
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010188989
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011942509