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learning schemes can be compared in terms of the consumption behaviour that they yield. We show that neither purely adaptive … learning, nor social learning based on imitation can ensure satisfactory consumption behaviours. By contrast, if the agents can … terms of its regularity, and its ability to improve performance (which is as a clear manifestation of learning). Our results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013066457
Attention is a pivotal resource in the modern economy and plays an increasingly prominent role in economic analysis. We summarize research on attention from both psychology and economics, placing a particular emphasis on its capacity to explain numerous documented violations of classical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014383940
People often form mental models based on incomplete information, revising them as new relevant data becomes available. In this paper, we experimentally investigate how individuals update their models when data on predictive variables are gradually revealed. We find that people's models tend to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015203464
agent they consider is characterized by an imperfect learning model. An interesting question that emerges is if, and to what …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013161531
. Bayesian learning implies that beliefs about the likelihood of rare disasters drop to a much more pessimistic level once a … between rational and adaptive Bayesian learning. Rational learners account for the possibility of future changes in beliefs in …-valued and price-dividend ratios vary less under adaptive versus rational learning for identical priors. Keywords: beliefs …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010387528
Learning models extend the traditional discrete choice framework by postulating that consumers have incomplete … literature on learning models that has developed over the past 20 years, using the model of Erdem and Keane (1996) as a unifying … framework. We described how subsequent work has extended their modeling framework, and applied learning models to a wide range …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092559
I develop an adaptive learning model to study the welfare effects of Social Security policy uncertainty in an aging … could occur) with limited knowledge about the structure of the economy. The adaptive learning amplifies cyclical dynamics …) ranges between -0.29% and 0.21% of lifetime consumption in the adaptive learning model compared to -0.012% to -0.018% in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012850416
-negative learning cost and spending one period. If the agent has time-consistent preferences, she always chooses to learn whenever the … learning is beneficial. If the agent has time-inconsistent preferences, however, she may procrastinate such a learning …), the procrastination of learning can occur even when the learning cost is zero. The procrastination also leads to a non …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012118521
Why do individuals interpret the same information differently? We propose that individuals follow Bayes' Rule when forming posteriors with one exception: when assessing the credibility of experts, they "double-dip" the data and use already-updated beliefs instead of their priors. Our proposed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011756731
). Learning is costly for the Receiver who can choose to process strictly less information than what the sender provides. In a … than the case without learning costs; meanwhile, the Receiver processes less information than what he would under full … processed in equilibrium varies with learning costs in a non-monotone fashion …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012852188