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The paper presents a new meta data set covering 13 experiments on the social learning games by Bikhchandani, Hirshleifer, and Welch (1992). The large amount of data makes it possible to estimate the empirically optimal action for a large variety of decision situations and ask about the economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013325050
The paper presents a new meta data set covering 13 experiments on the social learning games by Bikhchandani, Hirshleifer, and Welch (1992). The large amount of data makes it possible to estimate the empirically optimal action for a large variety of decision situations and ask about the economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014218602
-rational inferences, drive herd behavior. In Experiment 1, unobserved, whose actions remain private, learn from the public actions made in … actions that contradict their high quality signals they herd more extensively than predicted by Bayes-rational herding …-Bayesian updating and informational misinferences are the two channels that drive excessive herding, while the strong (resp. mild …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011789104
"information cascade" in which later predictions match the early announcements. This paper reports an experiment in which private …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014059223
This experiment compares the price dynamics and bubble formation in an asset market with a price adjustment rule in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011333057
become extremely and wrongly confident about the state of the world -- Social learning ; Non-Bayesian updating ; Herding …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003924223
substantial public information which increases the earnings of participants. In Experiment 2, participants have better …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011436128
This paper proposes a behavioral model of social learning that unies various forms of inferential reasoning in one hierarchy of types. Iterated best responses that are based on uninformative level-0 play lead to the following of the private information (level-1), to the following of the majority...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011490245
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010191021
This essay links some of my own work on expectations, learning and bounded rationality to the inspiring ideas of Jean-Michel Grandmont. In particular, my work on consistent expectations and behavioral learning equilibria may be seen as formalizations of JMG's ideas of self-fulfilling mistakes....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011590425