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. Learning by shopping anchors households' beliefs about inflation to its past, causing disagreement with firms over the value of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015069687
This paper presents an estimated model with learning and provides evidence that learning can improve the fit of popular …, developing a model that nests learning and some of the structural sources of persistence, such as habit formation in consumption … learning gain coefficient jointly with the 'deep' parameters of the economy. The empirical results show that when learning …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014061620
Experience-Based Learning (EBL) that renders expectations heterogeneous across age groups. Under EBL, the age …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013330596
In a standard new Keynesian framework we derive the conditions under which increasing the inflation target does not deliver expectational instability. We consider two monetary policy regimes with respect to information about the inflation target. Under transparency, there is full disclosure of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015410046
Survey data on inflation expectations show that: (i) private sector forecasts and central bank forecasts are not fully aligned and (ii) private sector forecasters disagree about inflation expectations. To reconcile these two facts we introduce dispersed information in a New Keynesian model,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011520661
This paper estimates a New Keynesian model with a nonlinearity in the monetary policy rule to capture the practice of inflation targeting with target zones or tolerance bands. Private-sector agents form subjective expectations, update their beliefs over time using a perceived model of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015407758
the help of econometric models. Agents use least squares learning to estimate two competing models of which one is … consistent with rational expectations once learning is complete. When past performance governs the choice of forecast model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009765344
hinder its efforts to learn. This paper examines whether real-time learning allows a central bank to learn the economy …'s underlying structure and studies the impact that learning has on the performance of optimal policies under a variety of learning … to a range of assumptions concerning private sector learning behavior. Second, when policy is set with discretion …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012728717
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001759741
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001541346