Showing 1 - 10 of 62
This paper examined the long memory features of GDP per capita data before the global financial crisis, using a sample of 26 African countries. The study employed fractional integration and tested the stability of the differencing parameter across the sample period for each country. The results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011482608
Tests of unit roots and other nonstationary hypotheses that were proposed by Robinson (1994) are applied in this article to the Nelson and Plosser's (1982) series. The tests can be expressed in a way allowing for structural breaks under both the null and the alternative hypotheses. When applying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005382147
We show in this article that fractionally integrated univariate models for GDP lead to a better replication of the main business cycle characteristics. We firstly show that the business cycle features are clearly affected by the degree of integration as well as by the other short run (AR, MA,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005382347
Housing price-to-income and price-to-rent ratios are among the most widely monitored indicators of housing market conditions. While these ratios tend to fluctuate around a constant level or a mild trend over the long term, they also tend to deviate from these benchmarks for protracted periods....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010737581
This paper analyses comovement in housing prices across the euro area. We use techniques based on the concepts of fractional integration and cointegration. Our results indicate that all the individual log-real price indices series display orders of integration which are above one, implying long...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010739945
This paper deals with the analysis of the volatility persistence and the leverage effect across six non-ferrous metals spot and futures series in India. Data for aluminium, copper, lead, nickel, zinc and tin were collected from 1st January, 2009 to 30th June, 2012. Volatility persistence was...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010907140
This paper deals with the analysis of global temperatures and sunspot numbers and the relationship between the two. We use techniques based on the concept of long range dependence. For the temperatures, the best specification seems to be a fractionally integrated or I(d) model with an order of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011062501
This paper deals with the analysis of two observed features in historical oil price data; in particular, persistence and cyclicity. Using monthly data from September 1859 to October 2013, we observe that the series presents two peaks in the spectrum, one occurring at the long run or zero...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010939454
This paper analyses the long-memory properties of a high-frequency financial time series dataset. It focuses on temporal aggregation and other features of the data, and how they might affect the degree of dependence of the series. Fractional integration or I(d) models are estimated with a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010741740
This paper examines the long-run dynamics and the cyclical structure of the US stock market using fractional integration techniques, specifically a version of the tests of Robinson (1994a) which allows for unit (or fractional) roots both at the zero (long-run) and at the cyclical frequencies. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005764147