Showing 1 - 9 of 9
We propose an asymptotically distribution-free transform of the sample autocorrelations of residuals in general parametric time series models, possibly non-linear in variables. The residuals autocorrelation function is the basic model checking tool in time series analysis, but it is useless when...
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We consider hypothesis testing in a general linear time series regression framework when the possibly fractional order of integration of the error term is unknown. We show that the approach suggested by Vogelsang (1998a) for the case of integer integration does not apply to the case of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010851190
This paper proposes a model that simultaneously captures long memory and structural breaks. We model structural breaks through irreversible Markov switching or so-called change-point dynamics. The parameters subject to structural breaks and the unobserved states which determine the position of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010851215
Fractionally integrated processes have become a standard class of models to describe the long memory features of economic and financial time series data. However, it has been demonstrated in numerous studies that structural break processes and non-linear features can often be confused as being...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010851300
The no arbitrage relation between futures and spot prices implies an analogous relation between futures and spot volatilities as measured by daily range. Long memory features of the range-based volatility estimators of the two series are analyzed, and their joint dynamics are modeled via a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005037433
A stylized fact is that realized variance has long memory. We show that, when the instantaneous volatility is driven by a fractional Brownian motion, the integrated variance is characterized by long-range dependence. As a consequence, the realized variance inherits this property when prices are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008915798
We study the empirical behaviour of semi-parametric log-periodogram estimation for long memory models when the true process exhibits a change in persistence. Simulation results confirm theoretical arguments which suggest that evidence for long memory is likely to be found. A recently proposed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008462031