Showing 1 - 10 of 646
The problem of multicollinearity in the assessments of coefficients is well established. However, it is rarely researched in the estimations of macroeconomic variables and economic performance of developing countries. Predicatively, it has impacts on the estimations of coefficients that should...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014179444
The iterated Bornhuetter-Ferguson loss reserving method generates an infinite sequence of reserve formulas, with the chain ladder and Bornhuetter-Ferguson formulas at opposite extremes. The sequence also contains the Benktander-Hovinen formula. Although the literature contains parametric...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012913492
We discuss the use of calibration techniques in economic models. Calibration contrasts with estimation in relying on deterministic calculation of model parameter values consistent with data, rather than econometric estimation. The reasons why calibrators use these methods, as well as the main...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014024982
We present a mixed-frequency model for daily forecasts of euro area inflation. The model combines a monthly index of core inflation with daily data from financial markets; estimates are carried out with the MIDAS regression approach. The forecasting ability of the model in real-time is compared...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136537
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013125435
This chapter reviews the rapid advances in foreign exchange volatility modeling made in the last three decades. Academic researchers have sought to fit the three major characteristics of foreign exchange volatility: intraday periodicity, autocorrelation and discontinuities in prices. Early...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013107841
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009355410
In this paper, we provide a brief introduction to a new macroeconometric model of the Spanish economy named MEDEA (Modelo de EquilibrioDinámico de la Economía EspañolA). MEDEA is a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model that aims to describe the main features of the Spanish...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009355412
We consider a set of potentially misspecified structural models, geometrically combine their likelihood functions, and estimate the parameters using composite methods. In a Monte Carlo study, composite estimators dominate likelihood-based estimators in mean squared error and composite models are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012598417
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013260199