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We propose a general purpose variance reduction technique for Markov Chain Monte Carlo estimators based on the Zero-Variance principle introduced in the physics literature by Assaraf and Caarel ( 1999). The potential of the new idea is illustrated with some toy examples and a real application to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005771909
We exend Meng and Wong (1996) identity from a fixed to a varying dimentional setting. The identity is a very powerful tool to estimate ratios of normalizing constants and thus can be used to evaluate Bayes factors. The extention is driven by the reversibler jump algorithm so that the output from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005612144
Bridge estimation, as described by Meng and Wong in 1996, is used to estimate the value taken by a probability density at a point in the state space. When the normalisation of the prior density is known, this value may be used to estimate a Bayes factor. It is shown that the multi-block...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005612167
An overview of ordering defined on the space of Markov chains having a pre-specified distribution as their unique stationary distribution is provided. The intuition gained by studying these orderings is used to improve existing Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005827393
The class of finite state space Markov chains stationary with respect to a common pre-specified distribution is considered. An easy to check partial ordering is defined on this class. The ordering provides a sufficient condition for the dominating Markov chain to be more efficient. Efficiency is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005827409