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In this paper we explore the use of Genetic Algorithms (GA) to calibrate seasonal BVAR models. In this way, the … the BVAR model. At the same time, the use of GA allows calibration to be performed on a diffuse setting, preserving as … much as possible the flexible nature of BVAR and revealing interesting features of the data. The well-known U.S. housing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014132203
We implement a long-horizon static and dynamic portfolio allocation involving a risk-free and a risky asset. This model is calibrated at a quarterly frequency for ten European countries. We also use maximum-likelihood estimates and Bayesian estimates to account for parameter uncertainty. We find...
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Prefetching is a simple and general method for single-chain parallelisation of the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm based on the idea of evaluating the posterior in parallel and ahead of time. Improved Metropolis-Hastings prefetching algorithms are presented and evaluated. It is shown how to use...
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) literature and the concept of knee-point of a curve. The forecast of the next period is obtained by combining the forecasts of …
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