In this paper we examine feed-forward neural networks using genetic algorithms in the training process instead of error backpropagation algorithm. Additionally real encoding is preferred to binary encoding as it is more appropriate to find the optimum weights. We use learning and momentum rates...

In this paper we propose an alternative and modified Generalized Regression Neural Networks Autoregressive model (GRNN-AR) in S&P 500 and FTSE 100 index returns, as also in Gross domestic product growth rate of Italy, USA and UK. We compare the forecasts with Generalized Autoregressive...

We consider parametric portfolio policies of any complexity using deep neural networks to optimize investor utility. Risk aversion acts as an economic regularization mechanism, with higher risk aversion constraining model complexity. Empirically, Deep Parametric Portfolio Policies (DPPP)...

We generalize the parametric portfolio policy framework to learning portfolio weights via deep neural networks. We find that network-based portfolio policies result in an increase of investor utility of between 30 and 100 percent over a comparable linear portfolio policy, depending on whether...

This article is concerned with forecasting from nonlinear conditional mean models. First, a number of often applied nonlinear conditional mean models are introduced and their main properties discussed. The next section is devoted to techniques of building nonlinear models. Ways of computing...

The popular scholarly exercise of evaluating exchange rate forecasting models relative to a random walk was stimulated by the well-cited Meese and Rogoff (1983) paper. Practitioners who construct quantitative models for trading exchange rates approach forecasting from a different perspective....

The popular scholarly exercise of evaluating exchange rate forecasting models relative to a random walk was stimulated by the well-cited Meese and Rogoff (1983) paper. Practitioners who construct quantitative models for trading exchange rates approach forecasting from a different perspective....

One of the most important factors to control for the achievements of investment portfolio returns is risk. If we only think that a 100% positive return is needed to recover a portfolio loss of 50%, we can understand why. With the advent of the exponential growth of technology usage in markets,...