Recent experience with interest rates hitting the effective lower bound and agents facing binding borrowing constraints has emphasised the importance of understanding the behaviour of an economy in which some variables may be restricted at times. The extended path algorithm is a commonly used...

In this study we examine different methodologies to estimate earnings. More specifically, we evaluate the viability of Genetic Programming as both a forecasting model estimator and a forecast-combining methodology. When we compare the performance of traditional mechanical forecasting (ARIMA)...

The present paper presents a theoretical extension of our earlier work entitled“A comparative study of two models SV with MCMC algorithm” cited, Rev Quant Finan Acc (2012) 38:479-493 DOI 10.1007/s11156-011-0236-1 where we propose initially a mixture stochastic volatility model providing a...

Combinations of point forecasts from expert forecasters are known to frequently outperform individual forecasts. It is also well documented that combination by simple averaging very often has performance superior to that of more sophisticated combinations. This empirical fact is referred to as...

Several approaches for subset recovery and improved forecasting accuracy have been proposed and studied. One way is to apply a regularization strategy and solve the model selection task as a continuous optimization problem. One of the most popular approaches in this research field is given by...