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The motivation of this paper is to introduce a short term adaptive model (Partial Swarm Optimizer combined with linear and nonlinear models when applied to the task of forecasting and trading the daily closing returns of the FTSE100 exchange traded funds (ETFs). This is done by benchmarking its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011573208
We develop statistical methods to detect informed trading in options markets. We apply these methods to 31 companies from various sectors over 14 years analyzing approximately 9.6 million option prices. We find that option informed trading tends to cluster prior to certain events, takes place...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009314008
This appendix extends the empirical results in Chesney, Crameri, and Mancini (2011). Informed trading activities on put and call options are analyzed for 19 companies in the banking and insurance sectors from January 1996 to September 2009. Our empirical findings suggest that certain events such...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009314012
Modern Algorithmic Trading ("Algo") allows institutional investors and traders to liquidate or establish big security positions in a fully automated or low-touch manner. Most existing academic or industrial Algos focus on how to "slice" a big parent order into smaller child orders over a given...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012837206
Several exchanges in futures and options deploy pro-rata matching. The executed size of limit orders in pro-rata markets is never certain, unlike in price-time priority matching systems. This article derives the optimal size of limit orders in pro-rata markets given the trader's desired...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013061277
While common machine learning algorithms focus on minimizing the mean-square errors of model fit, we show that genetic programming, GP, is well-suited to maximize an economic objective, the Sharpe ratio of the usual spread portfolio in the cross-section of expected stock returns. In contrast to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013242613
Concerns about the fragility of the financial system caused by the OTC derivatives market has encouraged the increased use of counterparty risk mitigation techniques including the use of market compression. In this process groups of market participants share position information via a third...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013063807
We consider second, third, fourth and fifth order stochastic dominance (SSD, TSD, FOSD and FISD, respectively) as well as decreasing absolute risk aversion (DARA) stochastic dominance (DSD). For comparison with DSD we also consider stochastic dominance (ESD) based on CARA utility functions....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012928166